According to a recent Times/Siena poll, former President Donald Trump has taken the lead over President Joe Biden among registered voters, with 49% supporting Trump compared to Biden’s 41%. The poll, conducted from June 28 to July 2, had a margin of error of 2.8% among registered voters. Trump also holds a lead among likely voters, with 43% support compared to Biden’s 41%. Trump’s lead is particularly strong among men, with 58% support, while Biden leads among women with 49% support. The only age group where Biden leads is Americans aged 65 and older.
The poll results follow a widely criticized debate performance by President Biden, with pundits and editorial boards calling for his resignation in favor of Vice President Kamala Harris. However, Biden and Harris reaffirmed their commitment to the reelection campaign during a surprise appearance on a Democratic National Committee call. Democratic governors, including Mass. Gov. Maura Healey, have also expressed concerns about Biden’s debate performance but continue to support him.
Despite speculation about Biden’s future as the Democratic nominee, analysts like Nate Silver predict that Biden will continue to lead the party. Biden himself stated that he is determined to run for reelection and lead the Democratic Party. The poll results indicate a shift in support towards Trump following the debate, but Biden remains determined to continue his campaign for reelection.
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