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Nate Silver’s Prediction for Biden’s Performance in the Election


During the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, concerns over President Joe Biden’s ability to win against Donald Trump have intensified following Biden’s positive COVID diagnosis. Nate Silver, a statistician and writer, has been tracking polling numbers and has expressed doubts about Biden’s chances of victory in November. Silver suggested in a post on X that it may be best for Biden to step down, citing recent unfavorable polling data. Silver’s analysis shows that Biden’s odds of winning have decreased in recent days, with Trump pulling ahead. Silver also co-hosts a podcast where he has expressed skepticism about Biden’s ability to run a successful campaign. Republicans have seized on speculation about Biden stepping down, refusing to agree to a vice-presidential debate for JD Vance, Biden’s newly nominated running mate, due to uncertainty surrounding the Democratic ticket. With concerns over Biden’s age and effectiveness as a candidate growing, Democrats are facing increased pressure to reconsider their strategy for the upcoming election.

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