The US presidential election campaign is in its final weeks, with Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump battling it out to secure the necessary 270 electoral votes from the 538 total available. Harris currently leads in national polls, but the race is tight, with swing states like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin being closely watched. Polls are used to predict voter support, but they have been inaccurate in the past, with factors like nonresponse bias and changes in voter turnout affecting their reliability. If Harris and Trump end up in a tie, a contingent election takes place in the US House of Representatives and Senate to determine the winner. The electoral votes are distributed based on each state’s relative population, with specific combinations of states potentially leading to a tie in the electoral votes. Despite their limitations, polls play a crucial role in predicting election outcomes, and many polls conducted ahead of the upcoming election have shown the difference in support between Harris and Trump within the margin of error. As voters head to the polls on November 5, the nation will be closely watching the outcome of this historic election.
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